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San Luis vs. Mazatlan prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get San Luis vs Mazatlan predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Atletico San Luis will face Mazatlan in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Alfonso Lastras on Tuesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts San Luis as the most likely winner of the Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Liga MX game between Atletico San Luis and Mazatlan 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 54.9% chance of Atletico San Luis winning, a 20.9% chance for Mazatlan, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico San Luis | Mazatlan | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -150 | +410 | +295 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | +108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +410 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +108 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 San Luis win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ASL 1-0 MZA | 12.2% |
| ASL 1-1 MZA | 11.5% |
| ASL 2-0 MZA | 10.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.7% chance that both Atletico San Luis and Mazatlan score, and a 50.3% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
San Luis vs. Mazatlan game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between Atletico San Luis and Mazatlan at Estadio Alfonso Lastras is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan
- Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico San Luis has a 54.9% win probability on Tuesday, Mazatlan has a 20.9% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Atletico San Luis vs. Mazatlan insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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