NFL Best Props

Explore top NFL player prop bets with our data-driven insights for NFL Week 5. Elevate your betting strategy by accessing the most promising opportunities. Unlock full access with Dimers Pro.

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Last Updated: 11:03PM, Oct 11 Add game to Favorites Value Identified
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D'Andre Swift Under 20.5 Receiving Yards
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
Projection:
16.7
Projection:
This is our projection for the player’s statistical output in this category.
Probability:
70.2%
Probability:
This is the likelihood of this bet winning.
Edge:
17.2%
Edge:
This is the difference between our projection and the implied probability of the bet’s odds.
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JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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D'Andre Swift Under 20.5 Rec Yds
Projection: 16.7
Projection:
This is our projection for the player’s statistical output in this category.
Probability: 70.2%
Probability:
This is the likelihood of this bet winning.
Edge: 17.2%
Edge:
This is the difference between our projection and the implied probability of the bet’s odds.
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Evan Engram Under 4.5 Receptions
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
Probability:
71.4%
Probability:
This is the likelihood of this bet winning.
Edge:
14.0%
Edge:
This is the difference between our projection and the implied probability of the bet’s odds.
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JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Evan Engram Under 4.5 Rec
Probability: 71.4%
Probability:
This is the likelihood of this bet winning.
Edge: 14.0%
Edge:
This is the difference between our projection and the implied probability of the bet’s odds.
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Tank Bigsby Under 39.5 Rushing Yards
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
Projection:
36.7
Projection:
This is our projection for the player’s statistical output in this category.
Probability:
65.5%
Probability:
This is the likelihood of this bet winning.
Edge:
12.0%
Edge:
This is the difference between our projection and the implied probability of the bet’s odds.
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JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Tank Bigsby Under 39.5 Rush Yds
Projection: 36.7
Projection:
This is our projection for the player’s statistical output in this category.
Probability: 65.5%
Probability:
This is the likelihood of this bet winning.
Edge: 12.0%
Edge:
This is the difference between our projection and the implied probability of the bet’s odds.
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
JAX vs. CHI
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
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Jaguars vs. Bears Prop Bet
Jaguars vs. Bears
Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Oct 13, 1:30PM
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Written by Mac Douglass
Reviewed by Nick Slade
The betting data on this page is based on current information, including up-to-date injury reports, weather alerts, and our most recent simulation results. But betting with your own money always involves risk. Think carefully before making any wager.

How to Use Dimers' NFL Best Props:

Learn how to make the most of Dimers' Best NFL Player Props with this quick guide. The video below will teach you how to find top props and edges, analyze cutting-edge data and place the smartest wagers.

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    Use Dimers’ NFL Best Props

    Check out our top prop bets for NFL.

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    Analyze Player Prop Data

    Review the latest data and edges for each NFL player prop.

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    Place Your Bets

    Use the insights from the Best NFL Props Bets to confidently place your bets and maximize your potential winnings.

Understanding Best NFL Props: Real Examples

Our “Best Props” are the upcoming prop bets we have identified with the largest betting edges. Here's an example of how our best props appear on this page:

NFL
Packers vs. Eagles
Sep 7, 10:15AM
Jayden Reed Over 41.5 Receiving Yards
Probability: 66.1%
Edge: 13%
icon
-113
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Prop Bet Probabilities

The prop bet probabilities on this page indicate the likelihood of a bet winning based on our simulation results.

In this example, our simulations suggest Jayden Reed has a 66.1% likelihood of having more than 41.5 receiving yards. This bet has a 66.1% likelihood of winning as a result.

How a Dimers Expert Uses Our Best Prop Bets

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Senior Editor
"My top tip for using our NFL best props is to focus on finding the edges. Most days, Dimers’ model identifies the biggest betting edges in player prop bets rather than traditional moneylines, run lines, or totals. You’ll often find great value on our NFL best props page."

We Use Multiple Sportsbooks; You Should Too

To get you the best value, we compare odds from all major US sportsbooks; only the best odds make it to this page. If you see an appealing bet from a sportsbook you don't have an account with, we encourage you to sign up.

This is usually a no-brainer, because most sportsbooks offer generous new-user promos that will reduce the risk and increase the potential payout of your first bet (or several).

Still, we want to be transparent that we may earn a commission if you create accounts with the links on this page. Thanks! That revenue allows us to keep helping you find the edge.

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Reasons to Trust Our Best Prop Bets

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We are objective
Our in-house teams of data scientists and industry experts use an objective, unbiased methodology to identify edges on prop bets.
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We are up to date
We update our models daily with the latest news, including injuries, weather updates, and much more.
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We are thorough
We conduct 10,000 simulations of every event that appears on this page, including manual checks and human override to ensure accuracy.
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We are backed by data
Our analysts synthesize millions of raw, live, and historical data points every year to generate our projections.

NFL Player Props

Dimers.com's NFL Player Props page is the ultimate destination for finding the best NFL prop bets in Week 5. Whether you're looking for the most promising NFL player props today or simply exploring options for the upcoming Week 5 games, our data has you covered. With Dimers, you'll find expert prop bets that offer you the best chance to make smart, data-driven NFL prop bets this week.

Who are the Best NFL Prop Bets for Week 5?

As the NFL season rolls on with a series of exciting matchups, Dimers has spotlighted several NFL player props for Week 5 that stand out due to their strong probabilities and edges.

Dimers' Top NFL props below offer a mix of enticing odds and high probabilities in Week 5, making them valuable considerations as you plan your NFL Week 5 player props betting strategy.

Colby Parkinson Under 32.5 Receiving Yards (Packers vs. Rams, Oct 6, 4:25 PM):

Dimers' analytics project Colby Parkinson to finish with just 22.5 receiving yards in the Week 5 matchup against the Packers, well below the sportsbook line of 32.5 yards. This difference of 10 yards gives bettors a strong edge of 22.5%. With a high probability of 75.9%, this bet stands out as a valuable under to consider, especially given Parkinson's limited role in the offense and the matchup's defensive dynamics. The odds for this prop are set at -115, offering solid potential for a favorable outcome.

Jordan Addison Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (Jets vs. Vikings, Oct 6, 9:30 AM):

Jordan Addison’s prop line is set at 35.5 receiving yards for his Week 5 game against the Jets, but Dimers' projections see him far exceeding that with 58.7 yards. This sizable discrepancy of over 20 yards represents a significant edge of 21.1%. Addison's ability to stretch the field and his involvement in the Vikings' offense make this over prop a high-probability bet at 74.4%. At -114 odds, the potential value here is substantial, suggesting Addison should comfortably surpass the line.

Sterling Shepard Under 23.5 Receiving Yards (Buccaneers vs. Falcons, Oct 3, 8:15 PM):

Dimers’ analytics suggest Sterling Shepard is projected for just 17.9 receiving yards, below the sportsbook line of 23.5 yards. This gives a moderate edge of 17.9%, with a probability of 72.5% that Shepard stays under. Given Shepard’s recent usage and potential limitations within the Giants' offense, especially against a solid Buccaneers defense, this under bet looks like a strong play. At -120 odds, this bet offers good value with a reasonable likelihood of hitting.

Derrick Henry Under 84.5 Rushing Yards (Ravens vs. Bengals, Oct 6, 1 PM):

Derrick Henry's rushing yards line is set at 84.5 yards, but Dimers’ model projects him to finish with 68.4 yards, a difference of over 16 yards. This gives bettors a solid 19.8% edge, with a probability of 72.1% that Henry will rush for fewer than 84.5 yards. The Ravens’ defense is known for their ability to contain the run, and Henry may find it tough to break through consistently, making this under prop a strong option at -110 odds

What Are NFL Player Props?

Player prop bets leverage a data-driven approach to identify high-value betting opportunities by analyzing various performance metrics and historical data. Their process involves calculating the probability of different outcomes and assessing the edge, or the expected advantage, associated with each bet.

By evaluating these factors, Dimers highlights prop bets with significant statistical support, providing bettors with a clear view of which outcomes are more likely to occur based on current trends and matchups. This rigorous analysis helps bettors make informed decisions by focusing on bets with strong probabilities and favorable edges, ultimately enhancing their chances of successful wagers.

Why Trust Dimers' NFL Best Props

Our NFL best props are generated using the same rigorous data-driven process that powers all of Dimers' betting tools and insights. While our , NFL picks and best NFL bets offer broader insights into game outcomes, our NFL best props focus specifically on player performance, giving you a unique edge in the prop betting market. 

Dimers produces its NFL best prop bets by employing sophisticated algorithms and world-class data analysis techniques to evaluate a vast array of statistical information and historical performance metrics.

The process begins with collecting comprehensive data on player performances, team statistics, and game conditions. This data is then processed using advanced algorithms that assess various scenarios and probabilities, generating insights into the most likely outcomes for specific prop bets.

By combining these insights with edge calculations—measuring the potential advantage over the betting line - Dimers identifies which prop bets offer the most value. 

The major difference between Dimers' best prop bets and their NFL predictions, NFL picks, and NFL best bets lies in the focus and application of the analysis. Best prop bets are specifically designed to highlight individual player and team performance metrics that are likely to exceed or fall short of certain thresholds, based on the data-driven probabilities and edges.

In contrast, predictions, picks, and best bets cover a broader scope, including overall game outcomes, point spreads, and totals, which incorporate team dynamics, matchup analysis, and betting trends.

Understanding Different Types of NFL Prop Bets

As mentioned, NFL player props are specific bets that focus on individual player performance rather than the overall outcome of a game. These props allow you to wager on various aspects of a player's performance, adding another layer of excitement to your NFL betting experience. Below are some of the different types of prop bets you can find on this page:

Over/Under Yardage

Here, you're betting on whether a player will exceed or fall short of a certain yardage total, such as passing, rushing or receiving yards. For example, you might bet on Aaron Rodgers to throw for over 250 yards in a game.

First Touchdown Scorer

This bet involves picking the player who will score the first touchdown of the game. It's a high-reward prop that often offers enticing odds.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Similar to the first touchdown scorer, this bet allows you to pick a player to score a touchdown at any point during the game.

Player Attempts

This prop covers various attempts by a player, such as pass attempts by a quarterback or rushing attempts by a running back. For example, betting on Josh Allen to attempt over 30 passes in a game.

Other Types of Props

Dimers covers a wide range of other player props, including but not limited to receptions and pass completions. Check this page regularly for the latest updates and new prop bets.

More About NFL Prop Bets

While this page focuses on NFL player props, there are many other prop bets available, such as team props, game props and even Super Bowl props. These include bets on total team points, specific game outcomes and unique events during the Super Bowl. For a complete breakdown of these additional prop bets, visit Dimers' NFL news, where we cover everything you need to know to stay ahead in the NFL betting game.

How to Use Our Best NFL Props

Full access to Dimers' NFL best props is a premium feature available through Dimers Pro. As a paid subscriber, you unlock advanced data and insights that give you an edge over sportsbooks. By utilizing multiple sportsbooks, you can shop around for the best odds, ensuring you get the maximum value out of each prop bet. Remember, while our data can greatly improve your betting experience, it's important to practice responsible gambling. Always bet within your means and make informed decisions.

Why Dimers Is Your Home of NFL Betting

Dimers.com isn't just about NFL player props; we offer a full suite of NFL betting products, including NFL predictions, NFL picks, NFL best bets, NFL parlays, NFL trends, and more. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just getting started, Dimers is your one-stop shop for everything NFL betting. Explore our site to find all the tools and insights you need to make smart, informed bets throughout the 2024 NFL season.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.
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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac brings a well-traveled perspective and broad knowledge of sports to his role at Dimers. Specializing in previews for the NFL, particularly the NFC South and NFC East, Mac leverages his keen insights to provide detailed game analyses. He also offers best bets and props for MLB and race previews for Formula 1, a sport he has followed passionately alongside professional tennis and the NBA. 

Known for his knack for discovering the best new user promos across major sportsbooks, Mac is dedicated to sharing these finds with the community, enhancing both the novice and veteran bettor's experience. Having lived in New York, San Francisco, Los Angeles and Melbourne, Mac's diverse experiences enrich his understanding of both American and international sports landscapes.

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