College Football Predictions
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Full site access Top college football predictions this week [10/17]
For this week’s slate of NCAAF FBS games, Texas A&M leads all win probabilities with a 99.8% chance of beating Citadel at Kyle Field. Clemson and Stanford also rank among this week's leading moneyline favorites.
These are our top three moneyline predictions for the week:
- Texas A&M 99.8% win probability vs. Citadel (10:00am ET, Saturday)
- Clemson 99.5% win probability vs. Charleston Southern (9:00am ET, Saturday)
- Stanford 99.2% win probability vs. Elon University (4:30pm ET, Saturday)
See the full slate above for predictions on every NCAAF game this week.
NCAAF predictions and college football picks today: 2026-27 NCAA football computer picks
NCAA Division I football is built different. With more than 130 teams in the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) alone, every Saturday consists of dozens of games. That’s a lot of research when you’re looking for the best college football picks.
The tricky part is, you don’t want to miss quality bets, and you also don’t want to chase picks impulsively.
Dimers cuts through that chaos with a systematic approach to betting. Rather than relying on opinion or intuition, we combine advanced data analysis with machine learning to produce moneyline, spread, and over/under NCAAF predictions and picks you can use to evaluate each matchup.
Each matchup includes:
- Spread pick
- Over/under pick
- Moneyline pick
- Predicted final score
Our college football picks cover every stage of the season, from Week 0 through conference championships, bowl games, and the College Football Playoff.
As new information becomes available during the week, our model updates its forecasts so our college football predictions today reflect the latest available team information, quarterback expectations, and betting market data.
What college football picks and NCAAF predictions do we provide?
Dimers provides college football predictions across the three most popular NCAA football betting markets. For every game, our model calculates the probability of each outcome, helping you compare those chances against the displayed odds and identify potential value.
NCAAF Moneyline Picks
The moneyline is the simplest college football betting market. You’re picking the outright winner of the game, regardless of the final score or winning margin. Our model estimates each team’s chances of winning and compares those probabilities with the displayed odds.
NCAAF Spread Picks
Spread betting involves predicting whether a team will cover the bookmaker’s point spread rather than simply win the game. Our model projects the expected winning margin and calculates each team’s probability of covering the spread, helping you spot potential value when the market may have mispriced a matchup.
NCAAF Total Picks (Over/Under)
Total betting is based on whether the combined score finishes over or under the sportsbook’s projected total. Using projected scoring for both teams, our model estimates the likelihood of the game finishing over or under the line.
Every Dimers NCAAF prediction is paired with displayed odds, so you can compare our model’s probabilities with the market price before making a betting decision.
How to use our college football picks and NCAAF predictions for sharper betting
Our college football picks are designed to help you evaluate every game quickly and confidently. Follow these steps to compare our model’s forecasts with the displayed odds and identify potential value before placing your bets.
- Pick a matchup: Browse the table above to find the week’s college football games. Each matchup displays our moneyline prediction by default.
- Toggle betting markets: Open the game predictions tab and switch between the moneyline, point spread, and over/under markets to view our pre-game probabilities for each.
- Check the pre-game probabilities: Every college football prediction includes a percentage out of 100, giving you a clear picture of how likely our model believes each outcome is.
- Compare probabilities against the price: Look for situations where our predicted probability is higher than what the odds imply. These discrepancies may highlight value betting opportunities where the market could be underestimating a team’s chances.
Using our NCAA football picks can help you make more informed betting decisions throughout the season.
Remember that no prediction is guaranteed, but combining data-driven college football predictions with disciplined bankroll management can help you make more informed decisions over the long term.
How Dimers generates our college football picks and NCAAF predictions
Every college football prediction on Dimers is powered by our in-house machine-learning model. For the 2026-27 season, we rebuilt the model from the ground up using a newer and more relevant training dataset, with the goal of making our NCAAF picks better reflect the way college football looks today.
Trained on current college football
The current model is trained on data from 2020 through 2025. The training data also excludes input from before the major 2023 college football rule changes. That gives the current model a more relevant foundation for generating 2026-27 college football picks and predictions.
A fresh model built for 2026-27
This isn’t simply the old model being run again with new data. For 2026-27, we’ve retrained a fresh model designed around the current college football environment.
That distinction matters because college football changes constantly. Teams, coaches, players, transfer patterns, rules, and the broader competitive environment all evolve, so a model built several seasons ago can become less representative over time.
Built in-house for greater control
Our college football model is built internally at Dimers. That gives us 100% control over how the model is developed, evaluated, and improved. It also allows us to build out explainability capabilities so we can better understand why the model makes particular predictions.
Spread picks and win probabilities come from the same projection
Our spread projection and win probability come from the same underlying game projection, creating a more consistent relationship between our college football picks across betting markets.
Probabilities are built for modern college football
Rather than relying on older, static push charts, our college football model accounts for the point values and scoring environment of modern college football.
That means our college football predictions are better aligned with the way points are actually scored and how current NCAAF betting markets behave.
Quarterback form feeds directly into the projection
Quarterback performance and form feed directly into the game projection. This allows our college football picks to account for the expected starting quarterback rather than simply relying on what happened in a team’s previous game or two.
That distinction is particularly important in college football, where starting quarterback changes can have a significant impact on a team’s expected performance.
What factors does the college football model consider?
The model incorporates a range of team, player, matchup, and game information when generating each projection, including:
- Recent form: Team and player performance is weighted toward more recent games, helping the model account for how teams are playing now.
- Power ratings: Dynamic ratings help quantify overall team strength and account for the quality of opposition and home-field advantage.
- Strength of schedule: Team statistics are adjusted based on the caliber of each opponent, helping prevent performances against weaker competition from being overvalued.
- Quarterback play and form: Quarterback performance is incorporated directly into the projection, including the expected starting quarterback for the matchup.
- Advanced team metrics: Offensive and defensive performance, scoring production, pace, and other predictive metrics contribute to each projection.
- Performance against market expectations: The model considers how teams perform relative to betting lines to help identify situations where the market may be overvaluing or undervaluing a team.
- Official game information: Matchups, venues, scheduling, and other game-specific information are incorporated into the prediction.
Once a game is projected, the model uses that projection to calculate the expected margin, expected total, and win probability. Those outputs are then used to generate the corresponding spread, total, and moneyline probabilities.
The entire prediction pipeline refreshes throughout the week as team information and market prices change. That means our college football picks and NCAAF predictions can reflect new information rather than remaining static from the initial release.
The same machine-learning model also powers our College Football Best Bets and College Football Parlays, helping bettors evaluate potential opportunities across the college football betting market.
Explore our full suite of college football betting tools
Our college football picks and predictions are just the beginning. Dimers offers a complete suite of tools to help you evaluate NCAAF games and betting opportunities throughout the season:
- College Football Best Bets: Top daily +EV NCAAF plays based on probability and price.
- College Football Prop Bets: Best daily NCAAF player props powered by projections and matchup data.
- College Football Parlays: Generate automatic NCAAF parlays with high-upside multi-leg combinations.
- College Football Odds: Compare all NCAAF lines from major sportsbooks with instant odds shopping.
- College Football Trends: Track NCAAF player hot and cold streaks to help with prop betting.
- College Football Futures: Probabilities and odds for long-term NCAAF outright bets.
- College Football News: Daily NCAAF matchup previews and exclusive picks from our experts.
Unlock unlimited access to all our betting tools by joining Dimers Pro.
New to NCAAF betting? Start with our guide on seven things to consider before betting on college football.
Move beyond free college football predictions and picks with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro unlocks premium college football betting tools that go beyond our free NCAA football predictions. Subscribers get unlimited access to our reliable system designed to help you find potential betting value every week.
- Full college sports coverage: NCAA football, men’s basketball, and women’s basketball.
- Real-time research tools: Access on desktop or the native mobile app.
- Dimebot AI assistant: Get instant answers powered by our data analysis.
- Private Discord: Connect with other bettors and Dimers experts.
- 15,000+ events annually: Picks, props, parlays, and more across all major sports.
Gain a real edge this college football season with Dimers Pro.
Make the NCAAFB bets worth making with Dimers Pro.
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Betting on college football legally and responsibly
Sports betting laws vary by state, and some jurisdictions restrict betting on college sports. Always check the regulations where you live before placing a wager. You can consult our college sports legal betting guide for in-depth information.
If you choose to bet, do so responsibly. Set a budget, avoid chasing losses, and treat sports betting as entertainment rather than a guaranteed way to make money. If you or someone you know needs support, please visit our responsible gambling resources.
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Your Questions Answered
How accurate are your college football computer predictions?
Our system is designed to identify long-term betting value rather than simply picking winners. Every prediction is generated from statistical modelling and machine learning instead of subjective opinion. While no betting model can predict every result correctly, our approach is built to provide consistent, data-driven insights throughout the season.
Are your college football predictions free?
All our college football predictions, including moneyline picks, spread picks, over/under probabilities, and projected scores, are available free throughout the season. For our premium +EV (positive expected value picks), join Dimers Pro.
How are Dimers' college football computer picks different from expert picks?
Traditional expert picks often rely on opinion, intuition, or narrative. Dimers' college football computer picks are generated from statistical models that continuously update as team news, injuries, and betting markets change. Every prediction is based on probabilities and machine learning rather than personal opinion.
How often are your NCAAF predictions updated?
Our college football predictions are updated throughout the week as new information becomes available. This allows our model to reflect injuries, lineup changes, and betting market movement before kickoff.
Which odds are shown on Dimers' NCAAF predictions?
Free users see odds from Bet365 for Weeks 1 and 2 of the NCAAF season. Dimers Pro members can access the best available odds from all supported sportsbooks and prediction markets.
What are college football computer picks?
College football predictions generated by statistical models are based on data rather than human opinion. Dimers analyzes every game to produce projected winners, point spread picks, over/under predictions, win probabilities, and projected scores. Our model updates throughout the week as injuries, team news, and betting markets change.
Do your college football predictions include projected scores?
Every matchup on Dimers includes a projected final score generated by our data model. These college football score predictions complement our moneyline, spread, and total probabilities, giving bettors additional insight into how our model expects each game to unfold.
How often are your college football predictions updated?
Our college football predictions are updated throughout the week as new information becomes available. Injuries, roster changes, and betting market movement are all incorporated, ensuring every projection reflects the latest available data before kickoff.
How are college football point spread picks calculated?
Our point spread picks are based on the projected margin of victory from the analysis of hundreds of data points. We calculate how often each team covers the spread and compare those probabilities with the available betting lines to produce data-driven betting insights.
What's the difference between college football predictions and college football picks?
College football predictions are the projected outcomes generated by our model, including win probabilities, projected scores, and betting probabilities. College football picks refer to the selections bettors can make using those predictions, such as moneyline picks, spread picks, and over/under picks.
Which college football games do you cover?
Dimers provides predictions for every FBS college football game throughout the season, including regular-season matchups, conference championship games, bowl games, and the College Football Playoff. Our coverage spans every major conference, including the SEC, Big Ten, ACC, Big 12, Mountain West, American Athletic Conference, and more. We also cover selected FCS games, depending on availability from our data and odds providers.
Can I use your college football predictions for parlays?
Many professional bettors use our predictions to help identify games that may be suitable for parlays. Our predictions include probabilities for moneyline, spread, and totals markets, and you can also use our dedicated College Football Parlay Picker for automatically generated multi-leg selections.