NFL Predictions

NFL Week 5 Predictions

Heading into Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season, some key matchups feature closely contested games, while others highlight strong favorites. The Thursday night opener between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons is predicted to be a tight contest, with the Falcons holding a slight edge at 54% win probability. Both teams are aiming to establish control in the NFC South, making this a crucial divisional game. Tampa Bay will look to their defense, while Atlanta’s run-heavy offense could prove decisive in what promises to be a competitive game.

The Sunday morning matchup in London showcases the Minnesota Vikings as the clear favorites, with a 61% win probability against the New York Jets, who sit at 39%. The Vikings will lean on their potent offense led by quarterback Sam Darnold, while the Jets will rely on their defense to slow down the Vikings' high-octane attack. This game could be a pivotal moment for both teams as they look to find consistency early in the season.

In the 1:00 PM slate, the Baltimore Ravens, favored at 57%, take on the Cincinnati Bengals (43%) in what should be a hard-fought AFC North rivalry game. The Ravens' defense and quarterback Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat abilities will be key, while the Bengals need quarterback Joe Burrow to regain his elite form to pull off the upset. Another interesting game in the same time slot features the Cleveland Browns (36%) as significant underdogs against the Washington Commanders (64%). The Browns will likely struggle against the Commanders' defense, while Washington’s offense looks to maintain momentum.

The San Francisco 49ers enter their 4:05 PM game against the Arizona Cardinals with the highest win probability of the week at 72%. The 49ers’ dominant defense and balanced offense make them overwhelming favorites against the Cardinals, who are struggling to find consistency. Meanwhile, the Green Bay Packers are also heavily favored with a 61% win probability against the Los Angeles Rams (39%) in their 4:25 PM matchup. Packers quarterback Jordan Love will aim to exploit the Rams’ defense, while Los Angeles needs a strong performance from their offense to stay competitive.

Sunday night features the Pittsburgh Steelers as 57% favorites against the Dallas Cowboys (43%) in a prime-time battle. The Steelers' defense, particularly their pass rush, could be a deciding factor against a Cowboys offense that has been inconsistent. To close out Week 5, the Kansas City Chiefs are heavy favorites at 69% to defeat the New Orleans Saints (31%) on Monday Night Football. With Patrick Mahomes at the helm, the Chiefs' explosive offense is expected to overwhelm the Saints, who will need a stellar defensive effort to have a chance.

NFL Week 5 Win Probabilities

NFL Week 5 Predicted Scores

Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season kicks off on Thursday, October 3, with the Buccaneers facing the Falcons in what is predicted to be a closely contested NFC South matchup. The Falcons are expected to edge out the Bucs by a single point, with a 22-21 victory. Both teams will be eager to secure a crucial divisional win, and the game is likely to be decided by late-game heroics or a last-minute field goal. Given the narrow score prediction, the game could hinge on turnovers or special teams play.

The Sunday slate opens with an intriguing international matchup in London, where the Jets are predicted to fall short against the Vikings, 22-19. Despite the Jets' recent defensive improvements, they may struggle to contain a well-balanced Vikings offense. Meanwhile, the Browns are forecasted to lose to the Commanders, 25-21, in a tightly contested game. Washington's offense is expected to find just enough success to edge out the Browns, who will be reliant on their strong ground game to keep the contest close.

Other notable matchups include an AFC North showdown between the Ravens and Bengals, with the Ravens projected to narrowly win, 26-24. This battle between divisional rivals promises to be another high-stakes encounter, with both teams vying for positioning in a competitive division. The Bills are also predicted to survive a close scare from the Texans, securing a 24-23 victory, while the Jaguars are expected to defeat the Colts 24-22, continuing their strong start to the season.

In the later games, the Dolphins and Patriots are expected to end in a rare 18-18 tie and head to overtime, highlighting the evenly matched nature of their AFC East rivalry. In other NFC showdowns, the Packers are slated to beat the Rams, 25-22, while the Seahawks are predicted to outlast the Giants 24-19. Meanwhile, the Chiefs will look to continue their dominance, with a projected 23-19 win over the Saints on Monday night.

NFL Week 5 Score Predictions

NFL Week 5 Moneyline Predictions

Several teams stand out as strong moneyline bets based on their expected performance. Here’s a look at the top five predicted winning teams and why they offer great value for bettors this week.

1. San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are expected to handle the Cardinals with a 28-21 victory, making them a solid moneyline pick. San Francisco's dominant defense and efficient offense, led by their elite running game and a healthy quarterback, have made them one of the most balanced teams in the league. Their ability to control the pace of the game, along with a strong home-field advantage, positions them as clear favorites in this divisional matchup.

2. Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs are projected to win 23-19 over the Saints, and with Patrick Mahomes at the helm, they’re always a strong moneyline bet. Kansas City's explosive offense has continued to thrive, even against tougher defenses, and their ability to come through in close games gives bettors confidence. With a deep roster and creative play-calling, the Chiefs are a solid choice to win outright.

3. Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore is predicted to narrowly edge out the Bengals 26-24 in a classic AFC North rivalry game. The Ravens are a great moneyline option due to their high-powered offense, led by Lamar Jackson, and a defense that consistently steps up in big moments. Their ability to adapt to different game scripts—whether it's a high-scoring affair or a defensive battle—makes them a reliable bet, especially in close matchups like this.

4. Buffalo Bills

The Bills are expected to squeeze out a 24-23 victory against the Texans. Despite the close score, Buffalo’s overall talent level, particularly on offense, gives them the edge. With Josh Allen playing at an MVP level, the Bills have the firepower to win games even when they aren’t firing on all cylinders. Their ability to close out games late with strong offensive drives makes them a compelling moneyline pick this week.

5. Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks are favored to beat the Giants 24-19, and their balanced approach on both sides of the ball makes them a reliable moneyline bet. With a defense that is capable of forcing turnovers and an offense led by an experienced quarterback, Seattle has the tools to secure an important road win. Their consistency and ability to play well in tight games gives them an advantage in this NFC matchup.

NFL Spread Predictions in Week 5

Betting against the spread? You're not just picking a winner - you're betting on whether a team will cover the spread. Dimers' spread probabilities lay it out for you, showing each team's chances. 

The Las Vegas Raiders are set to face the Denver Broncos in a closely matched contest. The Raiders are listed at +2.5 underdogs, with a 58.2% probability of covering the spread. The edge sits at 7.7%, indicating a favorable outlook for the Raiders to keep the game tight or potentially pull off a win. With this matchup scheduled for October 6 at 4:05 PM, bettors may lean toward the Raiders due to the slight statistical advantage.

In the Sunday night primetime matchup, the Dallas Cowboys will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers as +2.5 underdogs. Similar to the Raiders, the Cowboys also have a 58.2% chance of covering the +2.5 spread, though their edge is slightly lower at 5.9%. While the Steelers remain formidable at home, the Cowboys have shown resilience, and this prediction suggests that Dallas will be able to keep the game within striking distance or even claim victory.

The Carolina Panthers will meet the Chicago Bears earlier in the day, where they enter the matchup as +4.0 underdogs. The Panthers are given a 56.5% probability of covering the +4.0 spread, with a modest 4.1% edge. Despite Carolina’s struggles so far in the season, this prediction indicates that they may perform better than expected against a Bears team that has also had its own challenges.

Rounding out the notable matchups, the Arizona Cardinals face a tough test against the San Francisco 49ers. The Cardinals are +7.5 underdogs but still have a 55.8% probability of covering the spread, though the edge is only 2.3%. While the 49ers are heavily favored, this prediction suggests that the Cardinals could keep the game within a reasonable margin, even if they are unlikely to secure a win.

The odds for those lines are key - we recommend you combine high probabilities with the right odds to maximize your potential payout.

NFL Week 5 Over/Under Predictions

When it comes to the over/under, we recommend predicting the total points in a game. Dimers runs the numbers to give you the probability of both the over and the under.But don't just jump on it—make sure the odds align with that probability to ensure you're making a value-packed bet.

For Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season, the over/under bets show strong opportunities. The Browns vs. Commanders matchup has an over/under line set at 43.5, with a probability of 58.2% favoring the over and an edge of 3.3%, making it a promising bet despite the odds of -122. Meanwhile, the Jets vs. Vikings game, set in the early time slot, has a lower over/under line of 40.5. The probability for the over sits at 54.9% with a 3.0% edge, offering value with slightly better odds of -108. Both games present solid over betting opportunities.

The smartest plays balance both data and odds for the best possible return.

What Is the Best NFL Predictions Site?

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions. Dimers gives NFL fans the tools, computer analysis and expert data to excel at NFL betting in 2024. Dimers Pro provides unlimited access to our site, so check out our NFL score predictions and best NFL bets today.

As well as delivering its NFL predictions for Week 5 backed by thousands of computer simulations, Dimers also lists the best odds and sportsbook promotions available in your state. This information gives you the power to get the best NFL odds on all of your bets so that you can generate the most profit possible on your NFL picks in 2024.

Some of the best NFL prediction sites make promises that can't be kept, such as guaranteeing winners or claiming perfect accuracy. In reality, no matter how big of an edge one team has in an NFL game, intangibles like weather, injuries, and even blind luck can affect the outcome of a game.

That's why Dimers not only uses thousands of computer projections to make its NFL selections, but we also share this data with you. We'll let you know if a team won the game and covered the spread in 53% of our projections, or 65%, so you can always make your own NFL plays with more data.

With all that being said, it's extremely important to us that our users practise responsible gambling when placing wagers on the 2024 NFL Season.

Why Trust Dimers for NFL Predictions?

Dimers' NFL predictions are the result of meticulous analysis and advanced algorithms, ensuring they are both reliable and accurate. Our team continuously refines our models to incorporate the latest data, giving you the best possible edge in your NFL betting. With Dimers Pro, you gain access to a full suite of tools, including NFL player props, NFL trends, NFL futures, NFL parlays, NFL live bets, and more, all designed to help you win big this season.