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Pumas UNAM vs. Club America prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Club America predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Liga MX action continues on Sunday at 9:15 PM ET as Club America takes on Pumas UNAM in the playoffs at .
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Club America as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Club America game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Club America prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Club America, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 35.0% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 38.3% chance for Club America, and a 26.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Pumas UNAM vs. Club America odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pumas UNAM | Club America | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +170 | +150 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Club America picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club America | +150 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -102 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Club America: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 1-1 AME | 12.7% |
| PUM 0-1 AME | 10.2% |
| PUM 1-0 AME | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.9% chance of both Pumas UNAM and Club America finding the net and a 48.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Pumas UNAM vs. Club America game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between Pumas UNAM and Club America is scheduled to start at 9:15 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Club America
- Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
- Time: 9:15 PM ET/6:15PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 35.0% win probability on Sunday, Club America has a 38.3% win probability, and there is a 26.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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