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Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Cruz Azul vs Atlas predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Cruz Azul will face Atlas in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, starting at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Cruz Azul vs. Atlas game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cruz Azul vs. Atlas prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Atlas, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 66.5% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 13.7% chance for Atlas, and a 19.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Cruz Azul vs. Atlas odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Cruz Azul | Atlas | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -195 | +525 | +350 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cruz Azul vs. Atlas picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cruz Azul | -195 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Cruz Azul to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cruz Azul vs. Atlas: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Cruz Azul win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| CAZ 2-0 ATS | 12% |
| CAZ 1-0 ATS | 11.6% |
| CAZ 2-1 ATS | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Cruz Azul vs. Atlas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Cruz Azul and Atlas is scheduled to commence at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: Cruz Azul vs. Atlas
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 66.5% win probability on Saturday, Atlas has a 13.7% win probability, and there is a 19.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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