Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/17/2026]

Pumas UNAM will square off with Pachuca in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 46.8% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 28.5% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Pumas UNAM	Pachuca	Draw
+145	+170	+270

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-150	+105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Pumas UNAM	+145
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+105

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
PUM 1-1 PCH	11.7%
PUM 1-0 PCH	9.8%
PUM 2-1 PCH	9.3%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between Pumas UNAM and Pachuca is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
• Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 46.8% win probability on Sunday, Pachuca has a 28.5% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.