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Read Article Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Pumas UNAM and Pachuca will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 46.7% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 28.7% chance for Pachuca, and a 24.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pumas UNAM | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +200 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -135 | -102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +120 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -102 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 1-1 PCH | 11.6% |
| PUM 1-0 PCH | 9.7% |
| PUM 2-1 PCH | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.0% chance of both Pumas UNAM and Pachuca finding the net and a 44.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Pumas UNAM and Pachuca is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 46.7% win probability on Sunday, Pachuca has a 28.7% win probability, and there is a 24.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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