Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/24/2026]

Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul will meet in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul game.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model indicates a 34.2% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 38.8% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 27.0% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Pumas UNAM	Cruz Azul	Draw
+200	+135	+260

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-102	-135

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Pumas UNAM	+200
Total Goals	Under 2.5	-135

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
PUM 1-1 CAZ	12.8%
PUM 0-1 CAZ	10.7%
PUM 1-0 CAZ	9.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.7% chance of both Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul finding the net and a 49.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
• Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 34.2% win probability on Sunday, Cruz Azul has a 38.8% win probability, and there is a 27.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.