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Club America vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Club America vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Club America and Pumas UNAM will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Club America as the most likely winner of the Club America vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Club America vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Club America and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 51.5% chance of Club America winning, a 23.2% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Club America vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Club America | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +295 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -125 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Club America vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club America | -115 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -115 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Club America vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Club America win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| AME 1-0 PUM | 12.4% |
| AME 1-1 PUM | 12% |
| AME 2-0 PUM | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Club America vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between Club America and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Club America vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Club America has a 51.5% win probability on Sunday, Pumas UNAM has a 23.2% win probability, and there is a 25.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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