Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/14/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Liga MX game between Pachuca and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 42.9% chance of Pachuca winning, a 31.4% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Pachuca	Pumas UNAM	Draw
-110	+285	+280

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-145	+100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Pumas UNAM	+285
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+100

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
PCH 1-1 PUM	12.2%
PCH 1-0 PUM	10%
PCH 2-1 PUM	8.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 45.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between Pachuca and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM
• Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 42.9% win probability on Thursday, Pumas UNAM has a 31.4% win probability, and there is a 25.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.