Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on May 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
0
1
Pachuca
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
O. Idrissi (37')
Soccer ball icon
Eduardo Bauermann (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces Kenedy
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: G. Alvarez replaces O. Idrissi
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: Juninho replaces R. Morales
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces E. Valencia
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rondon replaces E. Montiel
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces A. Carrasquilla
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card
    J. Carrillo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  9. 61'
    Yellow Card
    A. Angulo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  10. 60'
    Yellow Card
    R. Morales (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces R. Lopez
  12. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Idrissi, assisted by V. Guzman
    0-1

Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +280, Pachuca +105, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+104)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 30.1%
  • Pachuca: 44.4%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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