Atlas vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/25/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Atlas and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 54.6% chance of Atlas winning, a 21.6% chance for Puebla, and a 23.7% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.2% chance of going over., with a 51.8% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Puebla +350, Atlas -140
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-125/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Puebla @ +350 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +100 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Atlas win being the most probable:

• Atlas 1-0 Puebla (11.4% probability)
• Atlas 1-1 Puebla (11.3%)
• Atlas 2-1 Puebla (9.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.8% chance of both Atlas and Puebla finding the net and a 48.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX action between Atlas and Puebla at Estadio Jalisco is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlas vs. Puebla
• Date: Sunday, October 25, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlas has a 54.6% win probability on Sunday, Puebla has a 21.6% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.