Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Guadalajara
2
:
2
May 13, 10:00 PM ET
Cruz Azul
May 13, 10:00 PM ET
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
C. Rodriguez (37')
Soccer ball icon
C. Ebere (pen.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sandoval (29')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (50')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces R. Ledezma
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Castro replaces A. Garcia
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: M. Levy replaces C. Ebere
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: I. Silva replaces A. Palavecino
90'
Yellow Card
A. Montano (Cruz Azul) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
A. Garcia (Cruz Azul) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
R. Ledezma (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
A. Palavecino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces S. Sandoval
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: G. Sepulveda replaces J. Castillo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces J. Paradela
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces O. Campos
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces R. Marin
68'
Yellow Card
R. Marin (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
O. Campos (Cruz Azul) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Ebere (pen.)
2-2
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda, assisted by M. Gomez
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces B. Gonzalez
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Paradela
1-1
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by S. Sandoval
1-0
17'
Yellow Card
C. Ebere (Cruz Azul) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
A. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +240, Cruz Azul +120, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 25.4%
  • Cruz Azul: 49.4%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.4%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.