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Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on May 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
0
1
May 14, 9:00 PM ET
Pachuca
May 14, 9:00 PM ET
Score Summary
O. Idrissi (37')
Eduardo Bauermann (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Pachuca
- Pumas UNAM
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces Kenedy
Substitution for Pachuca: G. Alvarez replaces O. Idrissi
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: Juninho replaces R. Morales
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces E. Valencia
Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rondon replaces E. Montiel
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces A. Carrasquilla
J. Carrillo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
A. Angulo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
R. Morales (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces R. Lopez
Goal scored for Pachuca by O. Idrissi, assisted by V. Guzman
0-1
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Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +280, Pachuca +105, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+104)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Pumas UNAM: 30.1%
- Pachuca: 44.4%
- Draw: 25.5%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca (12.1%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score
Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.
The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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