Cruz Azul vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [11/1/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX game between Cruz Azul and Club Leon, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 56.7% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 21.3% chance for Club Leon, and a 22.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58.2% chance of going over., with a 57.0% chance that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Club Leon +350, Cruz Azul -150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-215/+164)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Club Leon @ +350 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +164 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Cruz Azul 1-1 Club Leon (10.3% probability)
• Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Leon (9.9%)
• Cruz Azul 1-0 Club Leon (9.4%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.0% chance of both Cruz Azul and Club Leon finding the net and a 43.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Cruz Azul and Club Leon at Estadio Banorte is scheduled to start at 8:10 PM ET.

• Who: Cruz Azul vs. Club Leon
• Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026
• Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10 PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Banorte

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Cruz Azul has a 56.7% win probability on Sunday, Club Leon has a 21.3% win probability, and there is a 22.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.