Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on May 24, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
2
1
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
R. Morales (31')
Soccer ball icon
U. Antuna (90')
Red Card icon
A. Rico (90')
Red Card icon
R. Duarte (o.g.) (54')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rotondi (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Red Card
    U. Antuna (UNAM Pumas) sent off with a straight red card
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi
    2-1
  3. 90'
    Red Card
    A. Rico (UNAM Pumas) sent off with a straight red card
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: A. Rico replaces R. Lopez
  5. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces A. Garcia
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces R. Duarte
  7. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces A. Carrasquilla
  8. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by R. Duarte (o.g.)
    1-1
  9. 45'
    Yellow Card
    R. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  10. 36'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces J. Paradela
  11. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales
    0-1

Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +135, Pumas UNAM +210, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 38.8%
  • Pumas UNAM: 34.2%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM (12.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.8%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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