Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on May 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pachuca
0
1
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
PachucaPAC
J. Carrillo (56')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces R. Morales
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: T. Leone replaces J. Carrillo
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces Juninho
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces E. Valencia
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: G. Alvarez replaces O. Idrissi
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Rivas replaces A. Carrasquilla
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: S. Rondon replaces C. Sanchez
  8. 68'
    Yellow Card
    R. Duarte (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces Kenedy
  10. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces V. Guzman
  11. 62'
    Yellow Card
    Kenedy (Pachuca) cautioned
  12. 56'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by J. Carrillo
    0-1
  13. 29'
    Yellow Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pachuca +175, Pumas UNAM +145, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pachuca: 28.5%
  • Pumas UNAM: 46.8%
  • Draw: 24.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pachuca 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.8%.

The most likely correct score is Pachuca 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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