Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlas vs. Cruz Azul Liga MX match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Atlas
0
1
Cruz Azul
Cruz AzulCRA
Score Summary
AtlasATL
J. Paradela (32')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cruz Azul
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlas
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Atlas) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces C. Rodriguez
  3. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Zaldivar replaces A. Rocha
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces S. Hernandez
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces C. Ebere
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces C. Rotondi
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Marquez replaces J. Paradela
  8. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. Palavecino
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces E. Aguirre
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: D. Gonzalez replaces Gustavo Ferrareis
  11. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: M. E. Garcia replaces P. Ramirez
  12. 54'
    Yellow Card
    V. H. Rios De Alba (Atlas) cautioned
  13. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by J. Paradela
    0-1

Atlas vs. Cruz Azul: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlas vs. Cruz Azul
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 11:15 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlas +650, Cruz Azul -190, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/+107)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlas: 15.6%
  • Cruz Azul: 63.3%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlas 0-1 Cruz Azul (11.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Atlas vs. Cruz Azul? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.3%.

The most likely correct score is Atlas 0-1 Cruz Azul.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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