Puebla vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/9/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Club Leon, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 31.4% chance of Puebla winning, a 43.1% chance for Club Leon, and a 25.5% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.0% chance of going over., with a 54.7% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Club Leon +140, Puebla +190
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Club Leon @ +140 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -108 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Leon to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Puebla 1-1 Club Leon (12.1% probability)
• Puebla 0-1 Club Leon (9.8%)
• Puebla 1-2 Club Leon (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.7% chance of both Puebla and Club Leon finding the net and a 45.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX game between Puebla and Club Leon is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Puebla vs. Club Leon
• Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Puebla has a 31.4% win probability on Friday, Club Leon has a 43.1% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.