Mazatlan vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. San Luis Liga MX match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
4
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San LuisASL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
L. Merolla (o.g.) (50')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (57')
Soccer ball icon
S. Salles-Lamonge (79')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ovalle (75')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by M. Garcia
    1-4
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Rodriguez replaces J. Medina
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Torres
  6. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge
    1-3
  7. 78'
    Yellow Card
    J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  8. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Ovalle, assisted by M. Lainez
    1-2
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces O. Macias
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces B. Rubio
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Arce replaces Dudu
  12. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
  13. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces I. Gonzalez
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces S. Godinez
  15. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by J. Medina
    0-2
  16. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by L. Merolla (o.g.)
    0-1
  17. 47'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
  18. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces L. Flores
  19. 34'
    Yellow Card
    F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  20. 17'
    Yellow Card
    L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
  21. 10'
    Yellow Card
    O. Macias (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

Mazatlan vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. San Luis
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +420, San Luis -160, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 22.2%
  • San Luis: 53.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-1 San Luis (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Mazatlan vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

San Luis is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.3%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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