Mazatlan vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Mazatlan vs. San Luis at the Liga MX on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
4
Mar 4, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Mar 4, 3AM Estadio Alfonso Lastras
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San LuisASL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
L. Merolla (o.g.) (50')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (57')
Soccer ball icon
S. Salles-Lamonge (79')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ovalle (75')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ASL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MAZ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by M. Garcia
1-4
90'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Rodriguez replaces J. Medina
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Torres
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge
1-3
78'
Yellow Card
J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Ovalle, assisted by M. Lainez
1-2
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces O. Macias
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces B. Rubio
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Arce replaces Dudu
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces I. Gonzalez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces S. Godinez
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by J. Medina
0-2
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by L. Merolla (o.g.)
0-1
47'
Yellow Card
Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces L. Flores
34'
Yellow Card
F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
O. Macias (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

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Mazatlan vs. San Luis: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Mazatlan vs. San Luis prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. San Luis
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +420, San Luis -160, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 22.2%
  • San Luis: 53.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Mazatlan 0-1 San Luis, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Mazatlan is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.2% probability, while San Luis sits at 53.3%, with the draw at 24.5%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Mazatlan vs. San Luis prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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