Mazatlan vs. San Luis Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Mazatlan vs. San Luis Liga MX match on March 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Mazatlan
1
4
Mar 3, 10:00 PM ET Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San Luis
Mar 3, 10:00 PM ET Estadio Alfonso Lastras
San LuisASL
Score Summary
MazatlanMAZ
L. Merolla (o.g.) (50')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (57')
Soccer ball icon
S. Salles-Lamonge (79')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Pedro Galvao (90')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ovalle (75')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Luis
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by M. Garcia
1-4
90'
Yellow Card
S. Salles-Lamonge (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: B. Galdames replaces Lucas Esteves
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: D. Rodriguez replaces J. Medina
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: M. Garcia replaces R. Torres
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by S. Salles-Lamonge
1-3
78'
Yellow Card
J. Esquivel (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Ovalle, assisted by M. Lainez
1-2
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: R. Meraz replaces O. Macias
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces B. Rubio
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: B. Arce replaces Dudu
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: M. Lainez replaces M. Zaleta
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces I. Gonzalez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Esquivel replaces S. Godinez
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by Joao Pedro Galvao, assisted by J. Medina
0-2
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. San Luis by L. Merolla (o.g.)
0-1
47'
Yellow Card
Lucas Esteves (Atl. San Luis) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. San Luis: S. Munoz replaces L. Flores
34'
Yellow Card
F. Almada (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
17'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
O. Macias (Atl. San Luis) cautioned

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Mazatlan vs. San Luis: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Mazatlan vs. San Luis
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Alfonso Lastras

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Mazatlan +420, San Luis -160, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+105)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Mazatlan: 22.2%
  • San Luis: 53.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Mazatlan 0-1 San Luis (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Mazatlan vs. San Luis? Prediction & correct score

San Luis is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.3%.

The most likely correct score is Mazatlan 0-1 San Luis.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Mazatlan vs. San Luis, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.