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Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Monterrey vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Monterrey will face Cruz Azul in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio BBVA on Saturday, starting at 8:05 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Cruz Azul 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 38.5% chance of Monterrey winning, a 36.6% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +160 | +160 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -128 | +104 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monterrey | +160 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -128 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 1-1 CAZ | 11.7% |
| MNT 2-1 CAZ | 8.5% |
| MNT 1-2 CAZ | 8.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.1% chance of the yes hitting, and a 41.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Monterrey and Cruz Azul at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 8:05 PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 8:05 PM ET/5:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 38.5% win probability on Saturday, Cruz Azul has a 36.6% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Monterrey vs. Cruz Azul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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