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Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey Liga MX game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LIGA MX
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LIGA MX
Cruz Azul
2
0
Mar 1, 1:05AM Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Mar 1, 1:05AM Estadio BBVA
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
C. Rotondi (17')
A. Palavecino (62')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MON
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CRA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces O. Campos
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: R. de la Rosa replaces C. Salcedo
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: L. Romero replaces A. Palavecino
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces G. Fernandez
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Corona replaces S. Canales
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: U. Djurdjevic replaces L. Ocampos
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Reyes replaces G. Arteaga
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Aceves replaces S. Medina
62'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Palavecino, assisted by O. Campos
2-0
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: N. Ibanez replaces J. Paradela
45'
Yellow Card
G. Piovi (Cruz Azul) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
A. Palavecino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
A. Gudino (Cruz Azul) cautioned
17'
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rotondi
1-0
14'
Yellow Card
G. Arteaga (Monterrey) cautioned
11'
Penalty missed by J. Paradela for Cruz Azul

Game Prediction Article

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Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Cruz Azul +160, Monterrey +160, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-128/+110)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 36.6%
  • Monterrey: 38.5%
  • Draw: 24.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Cruz Azul 1-1 Monterrey, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Monterrey a win probability of 38.5%, while Cruz Azul has a win probability of 36.6%. The chance of a draw is 24.9%.

Summary

Our Cruz Azul vs. Monterrey predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.

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