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Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [2/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mazatlan vs Guadalajara predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Mazatlan and Guadalajara will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio El Encanto on Friday, starting at 10:06 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Mazatlan and Guadalajara 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 20.2% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 55.0% chance for Guadalajara, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Guadalajara | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +500 | -200 | +350 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +126 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +500 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +126 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 0-1 GUA | 13.4% |
| MZA 1-1 GUA | 11.7% |
| MZA 0-2 GUA | 10.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.6% chance of the yes hitting, and a 53.4% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between Mazatlan and Guadalajara at Estadio El Encanto is scheduled to commence at 10:06 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara
- Date: Friday, February 6, 2026
- Time: 10:06 PM ET/7:06PM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Encanto
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 20.2% win probability on Friday, Guadalajara has a 55.0% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mazatlan vs. Guadalajara insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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