Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on February 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Guadalajara
2
1
Feb 7, 3:06AM Estadio El Encanto
Mazatlan
Feb 7, 3:06AM Estadio El Encanto
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
Y. Barcenas (56')
Soccer ball icon
E. Alvarez (15')
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A. Gonzalez (pen.) (29')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GCH
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces J. Castillo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Herrera replaces J. Sierra
77'
Yellow Card
S. Santos (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces A. Gonzalez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces B. Rubio
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces A. Leyva
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces B. Gutierrez
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Y. Barcenas
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Godinez replaces L. Merolla
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces D. Aguirre
43'
Yellow Card
M. Zaleta (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
2-0
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Diaz replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by E. Alvarez
1-0
13'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, February 6, 2026
  • Time: 10:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -235, Mazatlan +650, draw +410
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+134)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 57.6%
  • Mazatlan: 18.4%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Guadalajara 1-0 Mazatlan, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 57.6% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 18.4%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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