Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan Liga MX match on February 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
1
Feb 6, 10:06 PM ET Estadio El Encanto
Mazatlan
Feb 6, 10:06 PM ET Estadio El Encanto
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
Y. Barcenas (56')
Soccer ball icon
E. Alvarez (15')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (pen.) (29')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mazatlan
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Tapias replaces J. Castillo
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Herrera replaces J. Sierra
77'
Yellow Card
S. Santos (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces A. Gonzalez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: D. Hernandez replaces B. Rubio
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. A. Saavedra Nevarez replaces A. Leyva
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: F. Gonzalez replaces B. Gutierrez
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by Y. Barcenas
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: S. Godinez replaces L. Merolla
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Campillo Del Campo replaces D. Aguirre
43'
Yellow Card
M. Zaleta (Mazatlan FC) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
L. Romo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez (pen.)
2-0
23'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Diaz replaces O. F. Moreno Villegas
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by E. Alvarez
1-0
13'
Yellow Card
L. Merolla (Mazatlan FC) cautioned

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Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, February 6, 2026
  • Time: 10:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -235, Mazatlan +650, draw +410
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+134)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 57.6%
  • Mazatlan: 18.4%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-0 Mazatlan (13.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Mazatlan? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.6%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-0 Mazatlan.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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