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Toluca vs. Club Tijuana prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [2/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toluca vs Club Tijuana predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Toluca will face Club Tijuana in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, starting at 10:05 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of the Toluca vs. Club Tijuana game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Toluca vs. Club Tijuana prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX game between Toluca and Club Tijuana 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 75.2% chance of Toluca winning, a 10.0% chance for Club Tijuana, and a 14.8% chance of a draw.
Toluca vs. Club Tijuana odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Toluca | Club Tijuana | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -475 | +1100 | +600 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Toluca vs. Club Tijuana picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Tijuana | +1100 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Tijuana to win.
Toluca vs. Club Tijuana: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Toluca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TOL 2-0 TIJ | 10.2% |
| TOL 2-1 TIJ | 9% |
| TOL 3-0 TIJ | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.8% chance of the yes hitting, and a 45.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
Toluca vs. Club Tijuana game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Toluca and Club Tijuana is scheduled to begin at 10:05 PM ET.
- Who: Toluca vs. Club Tijuana
- Date: Friday, February 13, 2026
- Time: 10:05 PM ET/7:05PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Toluca has a 75.2% win probability on Friday, Club Tijuana has a 10.0% win probability, and there is a 14.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Club Tijuana insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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