Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [5/11/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Our expert prediction for Sunday's Tigres UANL vs Necaxa matchup.

Tigres UANL-Necaxa Predictions and Game Preview.
Estadio Universitario sets the stage for the Liga MX matchup between Tigres UANL and Necaxa this Sunday.

Tigres UANL will square off with Necaxa in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Universitario on Sunday, commencing at 11:10PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Tigres UANL-Necaxa game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Tigres UANL a 60.6% chance of winning, Necaxa an 18.2% chance, and a 21.2% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa predictions page.

Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX matchup between Tigres UANL and Necaxa 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 60.6% chance of Tigres UANL winning, an 18.2% chance for Necaxa, and a 21.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Tigres UANL Necaxa Draw
-120 +340 +270

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-134 -104

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the best odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Tigres UANL win being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
TUA 2-1 NXA 10%
TUA 1-1 NXA 10%
TUA 2-0 NXA 10%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.6% chance that both Tigres UANL and Necaxa score, and a 45.4% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's game between Tigres UANL and Necaxa at Estadio Universitario is scheduled to begin at 11:10PM ET.

  • Who: Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Time: 11:10PM ET/8:10PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Universitario

Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Necaxa vs. Tigres UANL picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tigres UANL has a 60.6% win probability on Sunday, Necaxa has an 18.2% win probability, and there is a 21.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigres UANL vs. Necaxa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on Liga MX

Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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