Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [7/12/2025]

Toluca will take on Necaxa in Liga MX action at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

For expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Necaxa predictions page.

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Toluca vs. Necaxa Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Toluca and Necaxa 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 64.9% chance of Toluca winning, a 16.5% chance for Necaxa, and an 18.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 66% chance of going over, according to our model.

Pre-Game Probabilities

Last Updated: 12:08AM, Jul 13

Moneyline

Correct Score

Over / Under

Win %

Necaxa NEC

16.5%

+480

Draw

18.7%

+340

Toluca TOL

64.9%

-190

FanDuel

BetMGM

Caesars

DraftKings

bet365

BetRivers

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Toluca vs. Necaxa Odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Necaxa Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Necaxa matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Toluca vs. Necaxa: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.1% chance that both Toluca and Necaxa score, and a 39.9% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Necaxa Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's matchup between Toluca and Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Necaxa
• Date: Saturday, July 12, 2025
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Necaxa matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Necaxa vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 64.9% win probability on Saturday, Necaxa has a 16.5% win probability, and there is an 18.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Necaxa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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