Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction, Odds, Liga MX Picks [5/10/2025]

Toluca will square off with Monterrey in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Nemesio Díez on Saturday, beginning at 9:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Toluca-Monterrey game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Toluca a 60.4% chance of winning, Monterrey a 19.5% chance, and a 20.1% chance of a draw."

For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Toluca vs. Monterrey predictions page.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Toluca and Monterrey 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 60.4% chance of Toluca winning, a 19.5% chance for Monterrey, and a 20.1% chance of a draw.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Market	Toluca	Monterrey	Draw
Moneyline	-190	+450	+340

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Toluca vs. Monterrey Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Toluca vs. Monterrey matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Toluca vs. Monterrey: Correct Score and BTTS Predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TOL 2-1 MNT	9.8%
TOL 1-1 MNT	9%
TOL 2-0 MNT	8.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.9% chance that both teams scoring, and a 39.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.

Toluca vs. Monterrey Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Saturday's game between Toluca and Monterrey at Estadio Nemesio Díez is scheduled to begin at 9:00PM ET.

• Who: Toluca vs. Monterrey
• Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
• Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Saturday's Toluca vs. Monterrey matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Monterrey vs. Toluca picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Toluca has a 60.4% win probability on Saturday, Monterrey has a 19.5% win probability, and there is a 20.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Monterrey insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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