Monterrey vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Monterrey vs. Toluca Liga MX game on May 10, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

Unlock all picks and predictions for this game

LIGA MX

Monterrey

vs.

May 11, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)

Toluca

May 11, 1AM Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca de Lerdo)

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Pre-Game Probabilities Last Updated: 12:08AM, May 11

Moneyline

Correct Score

Moneyline

Win %

Monterrey MON

19.5%

+475

Draw

20.1%

+340

Toluca TOL

60.4%

-179

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Monterrey vs. Toluca: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

Teams: Monterrey vs. Toluca
Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Current Betting Odds

Moneyline Odds: Monterrey +475, Toluca -179, Draw +340

Dimers' Win Probabilities

Monterrey: 19.5%
Toluca: 60.4%
Draw: 20.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Liga MX game is Monterrey 1-2 Toluca, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toluca a win probability of 60.4%, while Monterrey has a win probability of 19.5%. The chance of a draw is 20.1%.

Summary

Our Monterrey vs. Toluca predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert Liga MX predictions and the best Liga MX bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Liga MX futures, Liga MX odds, and the latest Liga MX news.