Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [5/2/2026]

Tigres UANL will square off with Guadalajara in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of the Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Guadalajara, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 53.8% chance of Tigres UANL winning, a 21.3% chance for Guadalajara, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under, according to our model.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Tigres UANL	Guadalajara	Draw
-115	+330	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+100	-140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Tigres UANL	-115
Total Goals	Over 2.5	+100

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigres UANL to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Tigres UANL win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
TUA 1-0 GUA	12.9%
TUA 1-1 GUA	11.8%
TUA 2-0 GUA	10.4%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.9% chance of both Tigres UANL and Guadalajara finding the net and a 52.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between Tigres UANL and Guadalajara is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara
• Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tigres UANL has a 53.8% win probability on Saturday, Guadalajara has a 21.3% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.