Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL Liga MX match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
1
3
Tigres UANL
Tigres UANLUANL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
J. Angulo (45')
Soccer ball icon
J. Brunetta (53')
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D. A. Sanchez Guevara (55')
Soccer ball icon
R. Marin (11')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigres UANL
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    R. Guerrero (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Yellow Card
    A. Correa (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: V. Lorona replaces D. Lainez
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: A. Gignac replaces J. Brunetta
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: R. Guerrero replaces J. Angulo
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: S. Aguayo replaces R. Marin
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces E. Alvarez
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: J. Vigon replaces R. Aguirre
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Sepulveda replaces S. Sandoval
  11. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by D. A. Sanchez Guevara
    1-3
  12. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Brunetta
    1-2
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tigres UANL: D. A. Sanchez Guevara replaces F. Reyes
  14. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tigres UANL by J. Angulo, assisted by J. Brunetta
    1-1
  15. 38'
    Yellow Card
    F. Gorriaran (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  16. 33'
    Yellow Card
    O. Govea (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  17. 32'
    Yellow Card
    R. Aguirre (Tigres UANL) cautioned
  18. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin
    1-0

Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara +360, Tigres UANL -113, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+110/-124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 21.3%
  • Tigres UANL: 53.8%
  • Draw: 24.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 0-1 Tigres UANL (12.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Tigres UANL? Prediction & correct score

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 0-1 Tigres UANL.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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