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Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Santos Laguna vs Necaxa predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Santos Laguna will square off with Necaxa in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Corona on Saturday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Necaxa as the most likely winner of the Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Santos Laguna and Necaxa 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 26.4% chance of Santos Laguna winning, a 50.4% chance for Necaxa, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Santos Laguna | Necaxa | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +260 | -110 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +142 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Santos Laguna | +260 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +142 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| SLA 1-1 NXA | 10.8% |
| SLA 1-2 NXA | 9.6% |
| SLA 0-1 NXA | 8.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 59.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 41.0% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Santos Laguna and Necaxa at Estadio Corona is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa
- Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Corona
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Santos Laguna has a 26.4% win probability on Saturday, Necaxa has a 50.4% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Santos Laguna vs. Necaxa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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