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Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna at the Liga MX on January 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Necaxa
3
1
Jan 11, 1AM Estadio Corona
Santos Laguna
Jan 11, 1AM Estadio Corona
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Santos LagunaSAN
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
L. Di Yorio (28')
Soccer ball icon
J. Abella (52')
Red Card icon
A. Oliveros (4')
Soccer ball icon
T. Badaloni (14')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SAN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by J. Carranza (pen.)
3-1
90'
Yellow Card
E. Orona (Santos Laguna) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: J. Carranza replaces T. Badaloni
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: F. Rossano replaces R. Monreal
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: J. A. Ocejo Zazueta replaces K. Palacios
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: K. Gutierrez replaces R. Sanchez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Orona replaces A. Lopez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Santos Laguna: E. Bullaude replaces K. Balanta
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: L. Faravelli replaces R. Cortez
52'
Red Card
J. Abella (Santos Laguna) sent off with a straight red card
43'
Yellow Card
E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Santos Laguna by L. Di Yorio, assisted by F. Villalba
2-1
20'
Yellow Card
B. Amione (Santos Laguna) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by T. Badaloni, assisted by K. Rosero
2-0
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by A. Oliveros
1-0

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Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna
  • Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Corona
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +115, Santos Laguna +220, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-158/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Necaxa: 50.6%
  • Santos Laguna: 26.1%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Necaxa 1-1 Santos Laguna, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.6% probability, while Santos Laguna sits at 26.1%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Santos Laguna prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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