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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul will meet in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, with kickoff at 11:10 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Cruz Azul as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 31.6% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 42.1% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 26.3% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pumas UNAM | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +270 | +105 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -150 | +124 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +270 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +124 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 1-1 CAZ | 12.5% |
| PUM 0-1 CAZ | 10.6% |
| PUM 1-0 CAZ | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.3% chance of both Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul finding the net and a 47.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Pumas UNAM and Cruz Azul is scheduled to begin at 11:10 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 31.6% win probability on Saturday, Cruz Azul has a 42.1% win probability, and there is a 26.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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