Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Cruz Azul
2
:
2
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
Juninho (pen.) (61')
Soccer ball icon
Nathan Silva (68')
Red Card icon
W. Ditta (o.g.) (77')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (35')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (42')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Yellow Card
    K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces A. Carrasquilla
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces J. Paradela
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces E. Lira
  6. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by W. Ditta (o.g.)
    2-2
  7. 74'
    Yellow Card
    G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces Juninho
  9. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez
  10. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces N. Ibanez
  11. 68'
    Red Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) sent off for a second yellow card
  12. 61'
    Yellow Card
    W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
  13. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by Juninho (pen.)
    2-1
  14. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces A. Angulo
  15. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces A. Medina
  16. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Duarte replaces J. Carrillo
  17. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Rodarte
    2-0
  18. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Cruz Azul by N. Ibanez, assisted by W. Ditta
    1-0
  19. 31'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces C. Rotondi
  20. 14'
    Yellow Card
    Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  21. 11'
    Yellow Card
    A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +105, Pumas UNAM +270, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 42.1%
  • Pumas UNAM: 31.6%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.1%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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