Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon Liga MX match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Club Tijuana
3
0
Club Leon
Club LeonLEO
Score Summary
Club TijuanaTIJ
K. Castaneda (5')
Soccer ball icon
D. Abreu (20')
Soccer ball icon
K. Castaneda (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Club Leon
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Club Tijuana
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gomez (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: G. Padilla replaces A. Preciado
  3. 80'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rodriguez (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  4. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: D. O. Bagui Tobar replaces R. Inzunza
  5. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: D. Arcila replaces C. Mora
  6. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: E. Rodriguez replaces V. Gauthier
  7. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: M. El Ghezouani replaces D. Abreu
  8. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: D. Blanco replaces K. Castaneda
  9. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: A. Estrada replaces I. Rodriguez
  10. 60'
    Yellow Card
    I. Rivero (Club Tijuana) cautioned
  11. 55'
    Yellow Card
    F. Beltran Cruz (Club Leon) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Tijuana: A. Preciado replaces F. Boya
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by K. Castaneda (pen.)
    3-0
  14. 34'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: J. Cortizo replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
  15. 34'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Club Leon: F. Beltran Cruz replaces N. Vallejo
  16. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by D. Abreu, assisted by R. Arciga
    2-0
  17. 11'
    Yellow Card
    D. Cambindo (Club Leon) cautioned
  18. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Club Tijuana by K. Castaneda, assisted by D. Abreu
    1-0

Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Club Tijuana +333, Club Leon -120, draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Club Tijuana: 20.3%
  • Club Leon: 58.7%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Club Tijuana 1-2 Club Leon (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Club Tijuana vs. Club Leon? Prediction & correct score

Club Leon is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.7%.

The most likely correct score is Club Tijuana 1-2 Club Leon.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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