Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM Liga MX match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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Cruz Azul
2
:
2
Mar 14, 11:10 PM ET
Pumas UNAM
Mar 14, 11:10 PM ET
Pumas UNAMUNAM
Score Summary
Cruz AzulCRA
Juninho (pen.) (61')
Soccer ball icon
Nathan Silva (68')
Red Card icon
W. Ditta (o.g.) (77')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (35')
Soccer ball icon
C. Rodriguez (42')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pumas UNAM
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cruz Azul
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
P. Bennevendo (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
K. Navas (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces A. Carrasquilla
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Montano replaces J. Paradela
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: C. Ebere replaces E. Lira
77'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by W. Ditta (o.g.)
2-2
74'
Yellow Card
G. Martinez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces Juninho
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Garcia replaces J. Marquez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: G. Fernandez replaces N. Ibanez
68'
Red Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) sent off for a second yellow card
61'
Yellow Card
W. Ditta (Cruz Azul) cautioned
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by Juninho (pen.)
2-1
54'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces A. Angulo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces A. Medina
54'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: R. Duarte replaces J. Carrillo
42'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by C. Rodriguez, assisted by J. Rodarte
2-0
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by N. Ibanez, assisted by W. Ditta
1-0
31'
Substitution
Substitution for Cruz Azul: J. Rodarte replaces C. Rotondi
14'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned

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Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cruz Azul +105, Pumas UNAM +270, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+124)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cruz Azul: 42.1%
  • Pumas UNAM: 31.6%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Cruz Azul vs. Pumas UNAM? Prediction & correct score

Cruz Azul is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.1%.

The most likely correct score is Cruz Azul 1-1 Pumas UNAM.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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