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Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Pachuca will square off with Pumas UNAM in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Pachuca as the most likely winner of the Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Pachuca and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model suggests a 43.0% chance of Pachuca winning, a 31.9% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pachuca | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +230 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -165 | +115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +230 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +115 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PCH 1-1 PUM | 11.9% |
| PCH 1-0 PUM | 9.3% |
| PCH 2-1 PUM | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Pachuca and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 43.0% win probability on Saturday, Pumas UNAM has a 31.9% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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