Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
2
0
Apr 25, 7:00 PM ET
Pachuca
Apr 25, 7:00 PM ET
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (6')
Red Card icon
S. Rondon (90')
Red Card icon
U. Antuna (5')
Soccer ball icon
R. Morales (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: D. Mendez replaces Kenedy
90'
Yellow Card
S. Rondon (Pachuca) cautioned
90'
Red Card
S. Rondon (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
82'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: S. Trigos replaces R. Morales
75'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: J. Rivas replaces A. Angulo
63'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces J. Carrillo
63'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: Juninho replaces R. Lopez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Montiel replaces O. Idrissi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for UNAM Pumas: T. Leone replaces Nathan Silva
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces A. Dominguez
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by R. Morales (pen.)
2-0
34'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
Nathan Silva (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
6'
Yellow Card
R. Lopez (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
6'
Red Card
B. A. Garcia Caprizo (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
5'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by U. Antuna, assisted by R. Morales
1-0

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Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +290, Pachuca +100, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 31.9%
  • Pachuca: 42.3%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.3%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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