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Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pachuca vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Pachuca will square off with Puebla in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo on Saturday, starting at 8:06 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pachuca as the most likely winner of the Pachuca vs. Puebla game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pachuca vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX game between Pachuca and Puebla 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 55.2% chance of Pachuca winning, a 21.7% chance for Puebla, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pachuca vs. Puebla odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pachuca | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +320 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -108 | -112 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pachuca vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pachuca | -115 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -108 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pachuca vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PCH 1-1 PUE | 11% |
| PCH 1-0 PUE | 10.6% |
| PCH 2-1 PUE | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.7% chance of both Pachuca and Puebla finding the net and a 46.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Pachuca vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Pachuca and Puebla at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo is scheduled to start at 8:06 PM ET.
- Who: Pachuca vs. Puebla
- Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
- Time: 8:06 PM ET/5:06PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 55.2% win probability on Saturday, Puebla has a 21.7% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pachuca vs. Puebla insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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