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Puebla vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Pachuca at the Liga MX on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
2
Mar 8, 1:06AM Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Mar 8, 1:06AM Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
C. Sanchez (20')
Red Card icon
V. Guzman (74')
Soccer ball icon
E. Valencia (87')
Soccer ball icon
J. R. Pachuca Martinez (78')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces A. Ramirez
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by E. Valencia, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
1-2
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces A. Dominguez
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces Kenedy
82'
Yellow Card
J. R. Pachuca Martinez (Puebla) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
C. Rivera (Pachuca) cautioned
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by J. R. Pachuca Martinez, assisted by C. Baltazar
1-1
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Canelo replaces E. Guerra
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by V. Guzman
0-1
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces S. Rodriguez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
66'
Yellow Card
S. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces K. Velasco
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces E. Gomez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces O. Idrissi
54'
Yellow Card
A. Organista (Puebla) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces L. Rey
20'
Red Card
C. Sanchez (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
3'
Yellow Card
Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned

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Puebla vs. Pachuca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Puebla vs. Pachuca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +350, Pachuca -125, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 21.4%
  • Pachuca: 55.5%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Puebla 1-1 Pachuca, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Puebla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.4% probability, while Pachuca sits at 55.5%, with the draw at 23.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Pachuca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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