Guadalajara vs. Atlas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Guadalajara vs. Atlas Liga MX match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Guadalajara
2
1
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Estadio Jalisco
AtlasATL
Score Summary
GuadalajaraGCH
P. Ramirez (12')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gonzalez (48')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sepulveda (pen.) (84')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Atlas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Guadalajara
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    G. Aguirre (Atlas) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez replaces A. Sepulveda
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: L. Gamboa replaces A. Rocha
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Capasso (Atlas) cautioned
  5. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Aguirre (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  6. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: Y. Padilla replaces R. Alvarado
  7. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: M. Gomez replaces R. Ledezma
  8. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: B. Gutierrez replaces O. Govea
  9. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Marin replaces A. Gonzalez
  10. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: A. Rodriguez replaces A. Gonzalez
  11. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: E. Aguirre replaces S. Hernandez
  12. 85'
    Yellow Card
    A. Sepulveda (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  13. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Sepulveda (pen.)
    2-1
  14. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlas: V. H. Rios De Alba replaces E. Zaldivar
  15. 73'
    Penalty missed by A. Gonzalez for Guadalajara Chivas
  16. 71'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rodriguez (Atlas) cautioned
  17. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by A. Gonzalez, assisted by R. Alvarado
    1-1
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    B. Gonzalez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
  19. 29'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rocha (Atlas) cautioned
  20. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Atlas by P. Ramirez
    0-1

Guadalajara vs. Atlas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Guadalajara vs. Atlas
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Guadalajara -150, Atlas +430, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-118)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Guadalajara: 48.8%
  • Atlas: 25.1%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Guadalajara 1-0 Atlas (12.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Guadalajara vs. Atlas? Prediction & correct score

Guadalajara is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.8%.

The most likely correct score is Guadalajara 1-0 Atlas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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