Puebla vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Puebla vs. Pachuca Liga MX match on March 7, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
2
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Pachuca
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
C. Sanchez (20')
Red Card icon
V. Guzman (74')
Soccer ball icon
E. Valencia (87')
Soccer ball icon
J. R. Pachuca Martinez (78')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pachuca
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Puebla
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    F. Monarrez (Puebla) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Moreno (Pachuca) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: O. Gonzalez replaces A. Ramirez
  4. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by E. Valencia, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
    1-2
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: L. Quinones replaces A. Dominguez
  6. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: A. Bautista replaces Kenedy
  7. 82'
    Yellow Card
    J. R. Pachuca Martinez (Puebla) cautioned
  8. 78'
    Yellow Card
    C. Rivera (Pachuca) cautioned
  9. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Puebla by J. R. Pachuca Martinez, assisted by C. Baltazar
    1-1
  10. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Canelo replaces E. Guerra
  11. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Pachuca by V. Guzman
    0-1
  12. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces S. Rodriguez
  13. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: E. Valencia replaces S. Rondon
  14. 66'
    Yellow Card
    S. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
  15. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: C. Baltazar replaces K. Velasco
  16. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: E. Lozano replaces E. Gomez
  17. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Pachuca: V. Guzman replaces O. Idrissi
  18. 54'
    Yellow Card
    A. Organista (Puebla) cautioned
  19. 49'
    Yellow Card
    N. Diaz (Puebla) cautioned
  20. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Puebla: A. Organista replaces L. Rey
  21. 20'
    Red Card
    C. Sanchez (Pachuca) sent off with a straight red card
  22. 3'
    Yellow Card
    Eduardo Bauermann (Pachuca) cautioned

Puebla vs. Pachuca: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Miguel Hidalgo

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +350, Pachuca -125, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-105/-108)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Puebla: 21.4%
  • Pachuca: 55.5%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Puebla 1-1 Pachuca (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Puebla vs. Pachuca? Prediction & correct score

Pachuca is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.5%.

The most likely correct score is Puebla 1-1 Pachuca.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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