Atlante vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/16/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Atlante and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 32.6% chance of Atlante winning, a 42.6% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 24.8% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54.6% chance of going over., with a 57.7% chance that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +170, Atlante +150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Pumas UNAM @ +170 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Atlante 1-1 Pumas UNAM (11.6% probability)
• Atlante 1-2 Pumas UNAM (9%)
• Atlante 0-1 Pumas UNAM (8.8%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 42.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX matchup between Atlante and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to begin at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlante vs. Pumas UNAM
• Date: Friday, October 16, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Atlante has a 32.6% win probability on Friday, Pumas UNAM has a 42.6% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.