Necaxa vs. Atlas prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/16/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Atlas, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 42.7% chance of Necaxa winning, a 32.7% chance for Atlas, and a 24.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55.4% chance of going over., with a 58.3% probability that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Atlas +165, Necaxa +150
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Necaxa @ +150 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Necaxa to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Necaxa 1-1 Atlas (11.5% probability)
• Necaxa 2-1 Atlas (9%)
• Necaxa 1-0 Atlas (8.6%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.3% chance of both Necaxa and Atlas finding the net and a 41.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX game between Necaxa and Atlas at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Necaxa vs. Atlas
• Date: Friday, October 16, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Victoria

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 42.7% win probability on Friday, Atlas has a 32.7% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.