Club Tijuana vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/16/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 52.1% chance of Club Tijuana winning, a 24.9% chance for Puebla, and a 23.1% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57.6% chance of going over., with a 58.1% likelihood that both teams score.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Puebla +300, Club Tijuana -120
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Puebla @ +300 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -130 via FanDuel

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Club Tijuana 1-1 Puebla (10.7% probability)
• Club Tijuana 2-1 Puebla (9.7%)
• Club Tijuana 1-0 Puebla (9%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's Liga MX game between Club Tijuana and Puebla at Estadio Caliente is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Club Tijuana vs. Puebla
• Date: Friday, October 16, 2026
• Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Caliente

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Club Tijuana has a 52.1% win probability on Friday, Puebla has a 24.9% win probability, and there is a 23.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Liga MX prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.