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Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Liga MX action continues on Friday at 10:00 PM ET as Pumas UNAM squares off with Necaxa in the playoffs at .
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX game between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 33.5% chance of Necaxa winning, a 41.1% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +185 | +130 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -142 | +116 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Necaxa | +185 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +116 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 PUM | 12% |
| NXA 0-1 PUM | 9.3% |
| NXA 1-2 PUM | 8.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 33.5% win probability on Friday, Pumas UNAM has a 41.1% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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