Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa Liga MX match on March 6, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
LIGA MX
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
LMX sport icon
LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
1
0
Necaxa
NecaxaNEC
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
G. Martinez (83')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Necaxa
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Pumas UNAM
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces A. Medina
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: C. Garza replaces R. Morales
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: I. Tello replaces K. Gutierrez
  4. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: B. Casas replaces F. Rossano
  5. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for UNAM Pumas by G. Martinez, assisted by A. Carrasquilla
    1-0
  6. 82'
    Yellow Card
    E. Lara (Necaxa) cautioned
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: G. Martinez replaces J. Carrillo
  8. 68'
    Yellow Card
    K. Gutierrez (Necaxa) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for UNAM Pumas: U. Antuna replaces Juninho
  10. 63'
    Yellow Card
    A. Medina (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: R. Monreal replaces J. Ruiz
  12. 19'
    Yellow Card
    A. Carrasquilla (UNAM Pumas) cautioned
  13. 17'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Necaxa: E. Lara replaces A. Pena

Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa
  • Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +130, Necaxa +190, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-141/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 41.1%
  • Necaxa: 33.5%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa? Prediction & correct score

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.1%.

The most likely correct score is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Pumas UNAM vs. Necaxa, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.