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Monterrey vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Monterrey vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Wednesday.
Liga MX action continues on Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET as Queretaro takes on Monterrey in the playoffs at Estadio BBVA.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Monterrey vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Liga MX game between Monterrey and Queretaro 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 68.2% chance of Monterrey winning, a 13.3% chance for Queretaro, and an 18.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Monterrey vs. Queretaro odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -180 | +490 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -142 | +116 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Monterrey vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monterrey | -180 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -142 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Monterrey vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Monterrey win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 2-0 QUE | 11.2% |
| MNT 1-0 QUE | 10% |
| MNT 2-1 QUE | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.9% chance that both Monterrey and Queretaro score, and a 48.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
Monterrey vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between Monterrey and Queretaro at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Queretaro
- Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 68.2% win probability on Wednesday, Queretaro has a 13.3% win probability, and there is an 18.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Monterrey vs. Queretaro insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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