Queretaro vs. Monterrey Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Queretaro vs. Monterrey Liga MX match on March 4, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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LIGA MX
Queretaro
0
4
Estadio BBVA
Monterrey
Estadio BBVA
MonterreyMON
Score Summary
QueretaroQUT
L. Orellano (40')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (69')
Soccer ball icon
J. Corona (84')
Soccer ball icon
L. Orellano (90')
Soccer ball icon
F. Venegas (45')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Monterrey
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Queretaro
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Salcedo (Monterrey) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Orellano, assisted by J. Corona
    0-4
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Cazares replaces A. Avila
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: B. Parra replaces C. Garcia
  5. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by J. Corona, assisted by L. Orellano
    0-3
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: A. Rojas replaces S. Canales
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: J. Unjanque replaces J. Gomez
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: C. Villanueva replaces Jhojan Julio
  9. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by L. Orellano
    0-2
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    S. Homenchenko (Queretaro) cautioned
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: C. Salcedo replaces J. Rodriguez
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: J. Corona replaces C. Reyes
  13. 51'
    Yellow Card
    G. Allison (Queretaro) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Queretaro: D. Parra replaces F. Pena
  15. 45'
    Red Card
    F. Venegas (Queretaro) sent off for a second yellow card
  16. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Monterrey by L. Orellano, assisted by S. Canales
    0-1
  17. 22'
    Yellow Card
    F. Venegas (Queretaro) cautioned
  18. 16'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Monterrey: S. Canales replaces O. Torres

Queretaro vs. Monterrey: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Queretaro vs. Monterrey
  • Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Queretaro +575, Monterrey -180, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-142/+116)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Queretaro: 13.3%
  • Monterrey: 68.2%
  • Draw: 18.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Liga MX data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Queretaro 0-2 Monterrey (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Queretaro vs. Monterrey? Prediction & correct score

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 68.2%.

The most likely correct score is Queretaro 0-2 Monterrey.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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